As a non-drinker I don't have experience of hangovers, but I suspect they're probably a bit like the way I felt this morning, after a very late night (by my standards) and eating far too much salty food. Left it as late as I decently could to get out to the Glenlyon event in the hope that I might be more awake, but went in with few expectations.
This lived down to expectations - not much energy and not really running hills (of which there were a few, although not as many as there can be here). Reasonably accurate in the first half but in the second half lost a bit of time on #8 (overshot) and #10 (didn't realise how far down the hill it was), then managed to overshoot the last control as well. Was as far down the list as I deserved to be. Area feels thicker than I remember, although Bruce's time suggest it isn't.
Didn't have much of a run the way after the
2007 election either (though I miss the days when a 38.54 10k was a bad run).
It looks increasingly likely that Labor will form a narrow majority; giving likely seats to the current leaders, there are probably eight genuine toss-ups (six Labor-Liberal, one Labor-Green) and Labor needs to win two of them. (Here I'm counting Brisbane, Bennelong, Gilmore, Deakin, Menzies, Lyons, Sturt and Moore). Early indications from counting today are that postal votes are not skewing as conservative as they have in the past (their historic pattern is factored into current projections), which may strengthen Labor's position further.
Some of the geographic sweeps are remarkable; depending on how the remaining doubtfuls fall, it is within the realms of possibility that the Liberals could hold no seats in Adelaide or Perth, none which border on Sydney Harbour, and none in Melbourne west of Eastlink. They've also lost most of their remaining moderates in the House (although there are still some in the Senate), which may or may not accelerate the process of trying to follow the US Republican lead, except that being a party that writes off most urban areas and becomes a party of regional areas and outer suburbs is going to struggle to put together a majority in Australia. Partly that's a function of population distribution (Australia is more urbanised), partly it's a function of Australia not really having the racial identity politics which mean that even in cities, large majorities of whites vote Republican in the Deep South, and partly it's that we don't have industrial rust belts on the same scale or in strategic locations - in the US, Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania are crucial swing states, here it's Hunter, Hunter and Hunter...
The Victorian Liberals also seem to keep assuming that everyone else hates Dan Andrews as much as they do. There were swings from Labor to One Nation/UAP (with the Liberal vote basically static) in numerous seats in Melbourne's outer north, west and southeast, but none did anything other than turn 15% Labor seats into 10% ones (or, in La Trobe's case, strengthen its Liberal margin). I could never work out why anyone was expecting an anti-lockdown backlash in Corangamite or McEwen when all of the former and two-thirds of the latter were outside greater Melbourne.
The most entertaining result so far is that all the millions Clive Palmer spent, on national Senate vote share, UAP is currently narrowly trailing Legalise Cannabis Australia. This will be relegated to second most entertaining result if the aforementioned Legalise Cannabis Australia manage to beat Pauline Hanson to the last Queensland Senate seat (an outside chance but not a zero one).